Posts Tagged ‘health reform’

Obama is losing the PR war on health care

Friday, July 10th, 2009

This column in the NY Post by an Obama supporter misses the point but does show he is in trouble.

When asked to choose the best reason to support health-care reform, 34 percent chose “it will provide stable health coverage that can’t be taken away.” Only 12 percent chose “pay less in premiums,” and 7 percent chose “it will grow the economy.” Eighteen percent said that “health care is a moral right.”

The survey found that “42 percent of people who are currently covered changed coverage at least once in the last five years. For 57 percent of them, this change was involuntary. Among those who are currently covered, 38 percent said they are worried that they will lose coverage over the next five years.”

But that’s not what he is doing. He is telling people he will cut costs by rationing.

Obama’s central message so far has focused on the promise of lower costs for health coverage and more accessibility. But the poll (conducted by the Benenson Strategy Group) suggests that these aren’t the most potent issues.

In fact, a mere 29 percent of respondents agreed with the promise that their premiums would go down as a consequence of reform. And regarding “accessibility,” only 9 percent said that in the last five years they were without coverage all or most of the time.

Moreover, when asked, “Who do you think will benefit most from reform?” a whopping 60 percent chose “other people, but not [me].”

The majority of the country may have been dumb enough to elect him but they’re not this dumb. Mickey Kaus says It’s Obama’s own fault for raising the issue of cost and then getting into the whole issue of “effectiveness research.”

WaPo’s Alec MacGillis notes that Obama’s health care reformers
are clearly spooked by the notion that they could be accused of denying, for example, hip surgery to an 80-year-old.
If so, they largely have themselves to blame. They brought it up! It wasn’t the Republicans who billed health care reform as a cost saving, budget-balancing measure that would start to deny payments for treatments deemed “ineffective,” or (as one acolyte put it) when “a person’s life, or health, is not worth the price.” And to think when they heard that people started to worry about rationing! Fancy that.

The subject has now become rationing and that is not a debate they want to have with Canada next door publishing horror stories every week.

Total waiting time between referral from a general practitioner and treatment, averaged across all 12 specialties and 10 provinces surveyed, fell from 17.9 weeks in 2004 back to the 17.7 weeks last seen in 2003.

So, you want to wait 17 weeks to see a GP. What do you suppose the wait will be for a hip replacement ? Well, the average for all orthopedic surgery is 38 weeks and that includes minor procedures like wrist ganglion that I treat with a heavy book or aspiration.

The median wait for a CT scan across Canada was 4.8 weeks. British Columbia, Alberta, Ontario, New Brunswick, and Nova Scotia had the shortest wait for CT scans (4 weeks), while the longest wait occurred in Manitoba (8 weeks). The median wait for an MRI across Canada was 10.1 weeks. Patients in Ontario experienced the shortest wait for an MRI (7.8 weeks), while Newfoundland residents waited longest (20 weeks). The median wait for ultrasound was 3.9 weeks across Canada. Alberta and Ontario displayed the shortest wait for ultrasound (2 weeks), while Prince Edward Island and Manitoba exhibited the longest ultrasound waiting time (10 weeks).

The other subject that is not being mentioned is the fact that no one is going into general surgery anymore. That’s an exaggeration but the number of people completing general surgery residencies has not increased in 20 years and many of them go into subspecialties with better lifestyles. There were fewer surgeons being certified by the American Board of Surgery in 2008 than in 1981. The type of “reform” that Obama has in mind, with steep reductions in compensation for specialists, will cause a crash in the number of surgeons, just as has happened in Canada.

If you don’t believe that, ask Natasha Richardson.

The Democrats’ health bills

Tuesday, June 9th, 2009

UPDATE #2: The substance of the bill is now coming out and seems similar to the leaks from last weekend. I’m still not sure this is going to pass this year as it seems very sketchy in details. Public opinion may not be more receptive in spite of rhetoric to the contrary. Obama has a political event scheduled today in Wisconsin to support his health care bill but an inadvertent truth slipped into the Washington Post article about the trip.

States such as Wisconsin have lower medical costs because they are predominantly white and middle class, he said. The notable exception is Milwaukee, with its “poverty corridor,” he said. “Nobody wants to talk about the fact that if you want to deal with health care you have to deal with poverty.”

Nobody wants to talk about the real drivers of high healthcare costs. Of course, they also do not mention how many of the Green Bay elderly move to warmer states as they age.

UPDATE: Obama seems to be making a serious effort at a single payer health care bill this year. The details were secret but now seem to be leaking out and the bills, themselves, may be reported out soon. Whether this will actually pass is still in doubt but there are several sites doing a good job of analyzing the two versions of the legislation, for the House and the Senate.

Here is one analysis. The mandatory rule is one that Obama opposed in the primary debates but seems to have adopted. The free rider is a serious problem that needs to be addressed but, as always, the devil is on the details.

The Kennedy-Dodd bill would create an individual mandate requiring you to buy a “qualified” health insurance plan, as defined by the government. If you don’t have “qualified” health insurance for a given month, you will pay a new Federal tax. Incredibly, the amount and structure of this new tax is left to the discretion of the Secretaries of Treasury and Health and Human Services (HHS), whose only guidance is “to establish the minimum practicable amount that can accomplish the goal of enhancing participation in qualifying coverage (as so defined).”

This should be unconstitutional as the taxing power resides with Congress. Of course, COngress can delegate but this is extreme, even for Democrats. My concern is with the type of insurance to be mandated. If this is a basic catastrophic plan, I’m for it, but I doubt they can leave well enough alone.

The Kennedy-Dodd bill would also create an employer mandate. Employers would have to offer insurance to their employees.

Once again, the idea has merit but it will no doubt increase unemployment just as the French have created high unemployment by onerous rules for discharging employees. I thought the idea was to get employer-related insurance ended to free up the job market and reduce the anxiety that losing a job meant losing health insurance. McCain tried to suggest this in the campaign but could never explain it.

In the Kennedy-Dodd bill, the government would define a qualified plan:
All health insurance would be required to have guaranteed issue and renewal, modified community rating, no exclusions for pre-existing conditions, no lifetime or annual limits on benefits, and family policies would have to cover “children” up to age 26.

The House bill outline is consistent with but less specific than the Kennedy-Dodd legislative language. The House bill outline would “prohibit insurers from excluding pre-existing conditions or engaging in other discriminatory practices.” I will keep my eye on what “other discriminatory practices” means in the legislative language. Does that mean that a health plan cannot charge higher premiums to smokers?

Here is the camel’s nose under the tent. Other sections of the bill will ban insurance rating for risky behavior.

A qualified plan would have to cover “essential health benefits,” as defined by a new Medical Advisory Council (MAC), appointed by the Secretary of Health and Human Services. The MAC would determine what items and services are “essential benefits.” The MAC would have to include items and services in at least the following categories: ambulatory patient services, emergency services, hospitalization, maternity and new born care, medical and surgical, mental health, prescription drugs, rehab and lab services, preventive/wellness services, pediatric services, and anything else the MAC thought appropriate.

This appears parallel but is less specific for now: “Independent public/private advisory committee recommends benefit packages based on standards set in statute.” I find the “standards set in statute” interesting. It suggests that provider and disease interest groups will have two fora in which to lobby for their benefits to be mandated: Congress, and the advisory committee.

Here comes the politics. I spent years on the California Medical Association’s Commission on Legislation. We lost most of those battles because every provider group, from inhalation therapy to alternative medicine freaks, was in there promising contributions if the legislator would only vote for this one little item that was crucial to their group. I might add that the Republicans were the worst in voting for the weirdo alternative health bills.

Health insurance plans could not charge higher premiums for risky behaviors: “Such rate shall not vary by health status-related factors, … or any other factor not described in paragraph (1).” Smokers, drinkers, drug users, and those in terrible physical shape would all have their premiums subsidized by the healthy.

The House bill outline says it would “prohibit plans [from] rating (charging higher premiums) based on gender, health status, or occupation and strictly limits premium variation based on age.” If the bill were to provide nothing more, this would appear to parallel the Senate bill and preclude plans from charging higher premiums for risky behaviors.

More politics. This is what kills health care cost control. Eventually, you end up with conventional care being rationed and the alternative stuff approved because it is “cheaper” and people want it.

Health Reform- a few further thoughts

Monday, May 19th, 2008

UPDATE:The article here offers an interesting comparison between the French and British health care systems. Almost a controlled trial since the writer had one hip done in the NHS and the other in France. That article link is no longer valid but this one is interesting. Sound familiar ?

In recommending Medicare as the vehicle for the basic coverage in a national health plan modeled on the French system, I did not intend to suggest that Medicare, as that vehicle, would be a government agency. I was recommending a non-profit corporation funded by payroll or other contributions from beneficiaries. Medicare, in theory, is funded by the Medicare tax contributions of workers prior to retirement. A system for active workers would be called the same name and the two programs, plus Medicaid, would be rolled into one system. It would be funded, however, not by general tax receipts but by the assessment for health care, analogous to the French funds, the largest of which, CNAMTS, is for salaried workers. There are many other funds for other workers such as agricultural or managerial workers.

As far as the name is concerned, Medicare was the name for the health care program for military dependents when I was in the Air Force. The name was adopted for the retirement health plan in 1965 and the military then called its program “CHAMPUS,” and now calls it “Tricare.” The name is secondary.

My point is that this should be a non-profit corporation or foundation, sort of like CalPERS, the California pension program for government employees. Beneficiaries, employers, unions and providers should all serve on the board of directors. The retirement program, which is mostly funded by tax receipts now, can be represented by bureaucrats. Working people should be represented by their own members, elected or appointed, depending on the format chosen by members. This may be a very important part of the French system.

We have learned a lot about managing health care in the past 25 years. When I was in graduate school ten years ago, there were students in the same program from all over the world. This is a universal problem. I have consulted for the NHS when they adopted the “Fund Holding” reforms of Margaret Thatcher. The Labour government, once it took over from the Conservatives after Mrs Thatcher was no longer Prime Minister, made many disparaging remarks about Fund Holding, a reform with some similarities to American HMOs. However, they have kept most of the reforms in place.

In considering reforms, most critics of the US system look to Canada for ideas. This is because they are close to us and share our language and many of our institutions. They are not, however, a good model. I believe many mistakes were made and too much coercion was used in dealing with providers, a feature of our current treatment of doctors in the US. Because of language, few know much about the French health care system but those of us who have been working in health care, especially in surgery, are aware of the very high quality of care and innovation. We should also become aware of the similarities and of the very high level of satisfaction, both by patients and doctors.

Health Reform- the transition

Saturday, May 17th, 2008

I have been reviewing the details of the French health care system, as it was established in 1945, and how it has evolved in a history somewhat similar to our own. The Second World War marked the divergence between the two countries. Wartime labor shortages left us with an employer-based system that has become too expensive and rigid. France, in the social upheaval of defeat, had the chance for radical reform and took it. Britain took a similar opportunity and went another way with single payer, tax supported health care in the NHS. The pre-war differences in the three countries made some of this probable, if not inevitable.

What do we do now ? Why is it necessary to reform the US system ?

Our system is very expensive and does not have universal coverage. Those are the two features most listed by critics. People who are covered are largely satisfied with the care they receive but are often uneasy about the cost and the possibility of being left without coverage if they develop a serious chronic illness or lose a job. Our system has evolved away from community rating, in which everyone paid the same premium based only on age and sex. Now we have experience rating, in which a history of illness can make us uninsurable.

One of my patients 20 years ago had had a thyroid cancer, a form of cancer that is 100% curable when properly treated. A couple of years later, she needed a breast biopsy for what was almost certainly a benign lump. Her insurance excluded coverage because she had had thyroid cancer, totally unrelated to the present condition.

Recently, it has been reported that almost all medical groups in California are financially insolvent. For decades, the American system relied on cross-subsidies as insured patients paid for those without insurance by funding hospitals and doctors’ practices, which, in turn, cared for the poor and uninsured for free. The development of managed care and HMOs has eliminated the cross subsidy by squeezing out of the system the resources to provide uncompensated care. No one ever went without acute care in our system. Chronic illness has been another matter, but many of the patients who rely on emergency rooms and charity hospitals would probably not have availed themselves of chronic care anyway. Now, acute care is in jeopardy as public health systems, like that of Los Angeles County,  are being bankrupted by the demand from illegal aliens.

How do we proceed ?

The United States is much larger than France with a much larger population, 300 million compared to 64.5 million. Our economy is much larger and healthier with an unemployment rate of 5% vs 10% or higher in France. Our people tend to work longer hours and produce more per worker. Some of the French problems with health care are, in fact, problems with their economic model, which is more protectionist and less productive with huge agricultural subsidies (even larger than ours) and excessive vacation time and early retirement. The French health care system would fit our economy better than a British or Canadian model and the relative cost would be tolerable. Ours is already based on payroll deductions rather than general tax revenues and this could be continued. Workers already pay FICA taxes to fund Social Security and Medicare. In addition, they pay health insurance premiums. Combining the two would allow some cross subsidy for the Medicare deficit we face in the next few decades as “Baby Boomers” retire.

The US has 50 states and there have been a few attempts to use states as “laboratories of democracy” to test health care reform experiments. These do not work (except, perhaps, for Hawaii, which is relatively isolated) because states are not large enough and people will move around to acquire benefits. Any real reform has to be national. What I propose is to move to a universal Medicare program which would pay 80% of health care costs. The co-payment would be paid by private insurance, just as is done in France. Costs would be subject to “Evidence-based Medicine” criteria for reimbursement. If people want chiropractic treatment or acupuncture or massage, let them pay for it without subsidy. This may, in fact, be the most difficult part of the problem to solve as our state regulation is highly politicized and influenced by lobbies of various health care organizations.

I would also strongly recommend that the Workers Compensation system be integrated into the health plan, as is done by France. I work with the Workers Compensation programs in multiple states, reviewing claims,  and find that many of these workers have no private insurance. Integrating workplace injury treatment would avoid costly duplication and help reduce fraud, rampant in workers comp.

What do we do with illegal aliens ? They dominate public care in Los Angeles and fill emergency rooms of private hospitals. Since the Federal Government chooses to allow them to come into the country, they should pay for care of illness and injury. They are already eligible for workers compensation care.

What about nursing homes and treatment of the disabled? Medicaid is already the principle source of funding for care of the elderly and disabled poor. Integrating this into a national health plan would relieve a huge burden on the states and might reduce some of the gamesmanship in state-federal relationships.

What about a fee schedule, like that of France ? Doctors’ incomes have been eroding steadily the past 30 years as HMOs gained power and the FTC has prosecuted doctors’ groups for any attempt to negotiate fees with them. They should be allowed to represent members as a union and negotiate fees and terms. The Los Angeles County Medical Association has disappeared as members found themselves without the means to support it and it was dissolved with its magnificent library dispersed.

New doctors are heavily burdened with debt. USC medical school, where I teach, now has a tuition rate of $40,000 per year. The average medical student leaves with loan balances of $250,000. New young doctors must earn enough to repay loans. The problem has become so severe that a new medical school organized by the Cleveland Clinic and Case Western University has decided to grant 100% scholarships to all students accepted, in hopes of encouraging more to choose academic medicine. The military services offer full scholarships to medical students who agree to serve a minimum time as military physicians. What if we offered all new doctors, who agreed to accept the national fee schedule as payment in full (after co-payment), a full scholarship to medical school ? If later, they decided to shift to the equivalent of Sector 2 in the French system and charge higher fees, they would have to repay their scholarships. A system to forgive existing loans could even be introduced. Each year a new doctor participated in the Sector 1 equivalent, part of the loan was forgiven.

There are many permutations of a program like this and I offer these suggestions only for discussion. What about it ? One additonal advantage of a system like this is adminsitrative savings. Doctors offices have severe overhad problems trying to deal with the many HMO and IPA contracts plus Medicare paperwork. When I was in practice 13 years ago, I had 246 different contracts with various insurance groups, most with different requirements for pre-authorization and the like. I finally bought a computer system for the office to deal with the complexity. A card reader system like the carte vitale would be a godsend to doctors’ offices. The savings alone would make a lower fee schedule more acceptable. I know pediatricians whose capitation payment for HMO patients is no higher than the French Sector 1 fee. I am not an accountant but I think this could work. Something has to.

Health Care reform- The French system I

Wednesday, May 14th, 2008

 I have been reading a book about the origins of the French health care system, comparing it to the history of our own. Another excellent source, with more on the contemporary program, is here. The latter source compares the British NHS with the French and German systems. One statistic stands out. In a survey of users, 56% of the British surveyed believed their system was so bad that it should be scrapped and they should start over.

The French system evolved over the past century in a fashion very similar to ours. They emphasize private, fee-for-service practice even more than we do. In the 1930s, the French instituted a system quite similar to our Medicare system although it covered wage earning workers, not the elderly. For those workers, it was mandatory although it initially did not cover “white collar” or agricultural workers. The French had traditionally bought health insurance from fraternal associations, just as we did prior to the Second World War. In 1930, the unions (chiefly the CGT) were the force pressing for compulsory insurance. The doctors had split into three groups on the issue. Finally, a centrist named Paul Cibrie, founded a new group called “Confederation des Syndecats Medicaux Francais (CSMF) and carried the majority into approval of a compromise that established a “medical charter” for doctors, guaranteeing fee-for-service medicine and free choice of physician for patients. That charter has continued to this date. It included direct payment of fees, freedom for the doctors to set fees, and confidentiality. The mutual societies were included in their role as intermediaries, although government oversight was included. The 1930 French system was funded by payroll deductions.  In the US, adamant opposition by the AMA prevented any compromise until the Medicare legislation in 1965.

In our case, the War brought the employer-based system we have for two reasons. One was that wages were frozen during the war but fringe benefits, up to 5% of wages, were allowed. Provision of health care allowed employers to attract scarce labor during the war. The other was that it was tax exempt while private insurance was not. Many of the health benefits were the result of collective bargaining so unions, which often administer their own plans, have been very reluctant to adopt any alternative. Both Harry Truman and Bill Clinton learned that Democrat Presidents got no cooperation on that subject from unions. Both had plans for major reform that didn’t happen, largely because they got no union support.

The French had a very different experience. In 1940, Germany defeated the larger French Army in a lightning six weeks campaign. The occupation and Vichy rule displaced all of the traditional forces in French society, including the medical association leadership. The Vichy state even appointed a new medical society, called “Order of Doctors,” after it abolished all professional organizations and independent unions. The new society, headed by famous surgeon Rene’ Leriche, urged conformity in a time of crisis. Vichy had some ideas of its own, such as a German-like emphasis on the role of women as home makers and mothers. New maternity clinics were founded and hospitals were opened more to the general public. Low population growth, after the catastrophic loses of men in World War I, was blamed for defeat even though the French Army was larger than the German in 1940 and had better equipment.

Meanwhile, the Free French groups in exile in England planned for the post war period including health care and pension reform. I found it interesting that they were so concerned with such matters at such a time. The 1930s had been a period of labor unrest and this was also thought to be a factor in the French weakness in 1940. The committee that worked on Securite Sociale included labor leaders from CGT and Pierre LaRoque, who had served briefly as a Vichy Labor Minister until his Jewish origins led him to emigrate to England.  In the 1930s he had played a large role in the Labor Ministry under several governments. With the 1944 invasion, German authorities warned French doctors not to treat wounded Resistance members but the President of the Ordre des Medicins courageously contradicted the German orders and encouraged doctors to treat everyone and ignore the orders to report them to the authorities.

With the end of the War, France made a leap into the future with the founding of Securite Sociale, a program of health care and pension benefits that remains the basis of the French system today. Private fee-for-service practice was preserved and, after disputes arose about fee schedules, DeGaulle himself, intervened in 1960 to demand that doctors accept a uniform fee schedule. He said, “I saved France on a colonel’s salary !” The doctors signed up.

In early 1945, LaRoque became head of Securite Sociale and, even though he was subordinate to the Labor Minister, his relationship with De Gaulle gave him great power. Many large employers (Not including Marcel Michelin) had collaborated with Vichy, weakening their influence, and the mutual societies, which would lose their major role as intermediaries once the government assumed the primary role of  administrator, eventually found a role as providers of “gap” coverage. Here too, the mutuals lost influence because they had collaborated wth Vichy. The upheaval of the war allowed much more radical reform than was possible in the US. Roosevelt briefly considered inclusion of health care in the Social Security Act but it never found support.

The Securite Sociale boards were dominated by union officers as employers lost influence. Doctors retained their influence because they had not collaborated and they quickly reconstituted the CSMF. The local syndecats, equivalents of our medical associations, assumed a major role in setting fee schedules and adjudicating disputes. One third of the seats on the boards of Securite Sociale were reserved for physicians. Fee-for-service medicine was preserved in the interests of freedom, both for doctors and for patients. Doctors resisted payment by third parties and patients paid the bill and then sought reimbursement of 80% from Securite Sociale. This was a wise decision as it tended to dampen the moral hazard problem that has bedeviled the US system. Even today, (more of that later) patients, except in expensive procedures, pay the doctor directly and get reimbursement from the plan.

The British of course, went another way with the NHS and a total tax-paid system. The French system, like that in the US, was funded by employers and workers through payroll deductions. The French system was funded from a 16 percent deduction from wages, ten percent paid by the employer and six percent by the worker.  The contribution is now up to 20 percent and there is serious resistance to any increase. The deduction, like our FICA deducton, funds pension and unemployment, as well as health care.  There were still some government clinics but the basis was private care. Unions and employers sat on the board of the government program, although employers had less power than before the war. The fee schedule was to be set and the Securite Sociale payment would be 80% of the fee, just as Medicare was expected to pay only 80%. In both countries, private insurance quickly appeared to fill the gap and defeat some of the purpose of the deductable. In the US, Blue Cross and Blue Shield stepped in with “Medi-Gap policies; in France, it was the mutual societies which had been pushed out of health care insurance by the government program in 1945.

The original French plan in the 1930s was to cover lost wages during illnes, as actual medical costs were small. After the war, as hospitals grew and more were built in both countries, medical costs outpaced the lost wage segment, covered in the US as unemployment insurance, not health benefits anyway.

In both countries, “Usual, Customary and Reasonable” fee schedules were the Achilles heel of private fee-for-service medicine. How the French solved this problem, to the extent they have solved it, is the major lesson of the comparison. Gradually, Securite Sociale covered greater and greater portions of the population until now 99% are covered. The government pays for those who do not earn enough to contribute and Couverture Maladie Universelle (CMU) determines how much the member must pay. Above a certain income, the member pays their own way for the 20% (or more like 30% now) that is not covered by the Securite Sociale. In 1958, a survey of members asked “Should the healthy pay for the sick or should everyone get back only what they put nto the system?” 86% answered that the healthy should pay for the sick and 95% approved of the compulsory nature of insurance even though complete coverage of the population, including agricultural workers, came only in 2000.

The most significant difference was that, in France, the private insurance companies provided the “gap” coverage and the government program provided 80% of the payment. In the US, except for Medicare and Medicaid, it was all private. The book comments that French doctors have lesser incomes compared to US doctors but French medical school is free and US doctors might well choose that over the huge student loans they must repay the past 20 years. The makings of a grand bargain might just lie in that difference.

The French citizen or resident joins Caisse Nationale d’Assurance Maladie deTravailleurs Salariés (CNAMTS)—health insurance organisation for salaried workers. That covers about 80% of the population now and it pays 80% (often more like 70%) of a fee schedule for the doctor visit although specialists are allowed to charge more. French doctors are divided for payment and fee schedule purposes into three “sectors” after 1980. Sector 1 doctors agreed to abide by the fee schedule established in 1960, modified for inflaton and technological changes. They are mostly primary care doctors although some had waivers from the fee schedule prior to 1971 because they were more experienced or had great reputations. Few are still practicing. Sector 2 doctors could set their own fees but reimbursement was still determined by the fee schedule. These two categories correspond roughly to Medicare assignment in the US. If you accept assignment, you agree to accept Medicare payment as the full payment (or 80% of it plus the Medi-Gap payment) . Those who refuse to accept assignment may set higher fees but the patient is not obliged to pay more than the “allowed” charge. The French system is similar. Sector 3 in the French system is very small (about 1.5% of doctors) and includes “Alternative Medicine”, for the most part. They do not participate in Securite Sociale payment.

To be continued.