Posts Tagged ‘Obama’

What the Tea Parties are about

Wednesday, April 15th, 2009

I see a lot of discussion about what the “Tea Party” activists are concerned about. It isn’t really taxes. As others, including David Frum, have pointed out, taxes are not the issue right now. The rates are still fairly low by historical standards. This is what we are concerned about:

There are lots of complaints about Bush’s spending and I was unhappy with it. Still, the graph shows the difference. We have never seen anything like this before in our history. There is no way this debt can be repaid without either huge tax hikes or runaway inflation. We were already worried about paying for the Boomer generation retirement benefits in Social Security and Medicare. This will make that impossible. Obama said he wanted to change the country. That is certain unless he is stopped. That is what the tea parties are about.

The GM nationalization

Sunday, April 5th, 2009

UPDATE: We now have evidence of Steve Rattner’s expertise in the issues of GM’s financial crisis. He has experience with pension fraud.

A Securities and Exchange Commission complaint says a “senior executive” of Mr. Rattner’s investment firm met in 2004 with a politically connected consultant about a finder’s fee. Later, the complaint says, the firm received an investment from the state pension fund and paid $1.1 million in fees.

The “senior executive,” not named in the complaint, is Mr. Rattner, according to the person familiar with the matter. He is co-founder of the investment firm, Quadrangle Group, which he left to join the Treasury Department to oversee the auto task force earlier this year. Neither Mr. Rattner nor Quadrangle has been accused of any wrongdoing. Mr. Rattner did not return calls for comment.

Well, at least he knows the issues.

With the firing of GM CEO Waggoner, the Obama administration has embarked on a program of corporate socialism reminiscent of Mussolini in the 1920s. Obama threatens corporate executives, telling them, “My administration is the only thing between you and the pitchforks.” Hmmm. Were those the pitchforks forged in the House Financial Services committee ? And, who are the pitchforks aimed at, really ?

It is notable that no one with auto industry experience is involved in the “task force” that took over.

In session after session in a warren of offices at the Treasury Department, the team has sat through tutorials on dealer financing, studied basic data and debated the future of U.S. car sales. They have spent days trying to understand the complexities of the hundreds of companies that supply the car companies with axles, seats and other parts.

Steven Rattner, a former journalist-turned-investment banker, was picked last month to head the team. He reports to Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner and Lawrence Summers, the chief White House economic adviser. Mr. Rattner compares the challenge to a complicated puzzle.

“It’s like a Rubik’s cube, trying to untwist it and trying to get all the colors to line up,” he said in an interview. “So we’ve learned a lot about how car dealers work, and how companies get paid when they sell a car to a dealer, and why there are a certain number of dealers more than are optimal. Have we learned everything? Of course not, but I think we are learning what we need to learn to do this job.”

Of note are Rattner’s credentials.

Mr. Rattner started his career as a financial reporter for The New York Times. He has been active in New York’s Democratic Party, holding a variety of fund-raisers for candidates; he originally backed Hillary Clinton for president. Mr. Rattner’s wife, Maureen White, was a co-chairwoman of finance for Mrs. Clinton’s campaign.

He previously worked at Lehman Brothers, Morgan Stanley and Lazard as a mergers and acquisitions specialist.

Certainly gives one confidence, doesn’t it ?

How about the others on the task force ?

The team’s industrial expertise comes from Ron Bloom, a scrappy Harvard Business School graduate who gave up investment banking in 1996 to work as a top adviser to the United Steelworkers union

Several team members, such as Brian Deese, a 31-year-old former Obama campaign aide, are on loan from the White House’s National Economic Council. Three others specialize in climate change. The rest come from agencies such as the Energy and Labor departments. Backing them up are about 30 accountants and advisers.

Yes, GM is in good hands.

Obama is lying about infrastructure

Tuesday, March 24th, 2009

This post on ChicagoBoyz points out that the political left, including Obama, has no intention of investing in energy infrastructure. The post notes this NY Times editorial piece which exposes the left’s antipathy to transmission infrastructure. Here is the agenda as seen from the left:

PRESIDENT Obama has laid out an ambitious agenda for dealing with our energy needs and climate change: he proposes to double the supply of renewable energy within three years, establish a cap-and-trade program to reduce carbon emissions and use federal stimulus dollars to help homes, businesses and governments use energy more efficiently. This is the right blueprint for increasing the number of green jobs, encouraging economic growth, ensuring that the United States has the energy it needs at reasonable prices, and reducing the risk of global climate change.

Aside from “renewable energy” which constitutes 3% of US energy production with a practical cap of 10% of need by 2020, let alone three years, there are no plans to produce more energy.

lawmakers should resist calls to add an extensive and costly new transmission system that would carry electricity from remote areas like Texas, the Great Plains and Eastern Canada to places with high energy demands like Boston, Chicago and New York. This idea is being promoted by energy companies and by elected officials who see it as an economic development opportunity for their particular state or region. Long-distance transmission lines are needed, they argue, to ensure that the president’s energy goals are met.

We have already eliminated windmills near Cape Cod because they offend Ted Kennedy. Does anyone think New York City is to be covered with solar panels ? The only possibility for wind power and solar power is to generate it in places where it is possible, then transmit it to the places where it is needed.

In Massachusetts, we get about 5 percent of our power from hydroelectric plants in Quebec. Our distribution utilities are negotiating to install a second transmission line for Canadian hydropower, which would be paid for through long-term power-purchase contracts approved by the New England states whose residents use that power. Developers of remote wind-power farms in eastern Canada have said they would also like to sell us electricity, but unless the combined cost of the power they could provide and its transmission is competitive with our other renewable energy choices, their projects won’t get approved. That’s the way it should be.

The real agenda of the political and environmental left is to reduce power usage, no matter what the consequences. Cap and Trade will certainly do that. Now all we have to do is find work for all those laid off by factories leaving the environmentally sensitive states. The real story is here:

the US has failed to invest in generation and transmission assets over the last 25 years or so. “Base load” generation primarily consists of 1) coal plants (no one is building new ones because of environmental legislation) 2) hydroelectric plants (no one is damming rivers due to the Sierra Club) 3) nuclear plant (they are far too expensive, regulation is uncertain, and Three Mile Island hasn’t gone away). There have been some “peaker” plants running natural gas (more expensive) and some minor “renewable” projects but generally we have just been “running in place” with regards to capacity and utilizing up all the “reserve” capacity that had been built up in previous years, as evidenced by blackouts in places like California.

The future with Obama, Reid and Pelosi is grim.

Here is an upbeat appraisal of Obama’s plans but note very little about building new transmission lines.

The fascist chick peeks out from the Democrat shell.

Sunday, March 22nd, 2009

UPDATE #2: Here is an interesting discussion of the sources of the AIG meltdown and the contribution of CDSs.

Let’s start by looking back to the dot-com era, which also happened to be the era of the day trader. Remember them? A successful day trader in the late 1990s could gain a following over Internet chat then use that following to make money by becoming an alpha trader. He’d say “I’m selling this” or “I’m buying that” and copycat day traders would do the same. If enough of them acted they could influence the price down or up and – since the leader was leading – he could almost always liquidate his position with a profit. The quickest of his acolytes would make profits, too. Those who didn’t profit weren’t seen as exposing the inherent flaws of this system, they were just viewed as too slow.
To a certain extent, the heirs of day trading have taken the lessons of that earlier era and applied them with devastating effect in the Twitter Age.
If a bunch of wealthy traders get together at Starbucks and agree to short-sell a company or a financial instrument, driving down that price ideally to the point where it never recovers, well that’s against the law. But with trading automation and the Internet as a platform it is possible to accomplish this same end WITHOUT it being explicitly illegal. It is even possible that the perps don’t know the level of damage they are inflicting, though I doubt that’s true. The trick is to avoid communication. If there is no communication between traders there is no chain of causation, no conspiracy, just an unhappy accident.

Read the rest. Cringely is the best source of info on the computer industry.

UPDATE: The Wall Street Journal comments on the disastrous precendent being set with the punitive 90% tax on bonuses passed by the House.

The financial system will suffer in particular, just when the Obama Administration is desperately seeking more private capital to ride out future losses. Facing such limits on the ability to reward talent, every bank CEO will try to pay off the TARP as soon as possible, whether or not this leaves the bank with a weaker capital base. Hedge funds and other investors that Treasury needs for its new Public-Private Investment Program, or for the Federal Reserve’s TALF, will also be warier, if they’ll play at all. Treasury may promise nothing punitive for these programs, but that’s also what it said about the TARP.

The Washington Monthly crowd are excited at the prospect of secret votes on Obama’s legislative priorities. The plan is to deny the Republicans the opportunity to debate the bill by introducing it and voting it into law in secret.

Senior members of the Obama administration are pressing lawmakers to use a shortcut to drive the president’s signature initiatives on health care and energy through Congress without Republican votes, a move that many lawmakers say would fly in the face of President Obama’s pledge to restore bipartisanship to Washington.

Republicans are howling about the proposal to expand health coverage and tax greenhouse gas emissions without their input, warning that it could irrevocably damage relations with the new president.

“That would be the Chicago approach to governing: Strong-arm it through,” said Sen. Judd Gregg (R-N.H.), who briefly considered joining the Obama administration as commerce secretary. “You’re talking about the exact opposite of bipartisan. You’re talking about running over the minority, putting them in cement and throwing them in the Chicago River.”

The budget reconciliation process was devised to iron out differences in House and Senate versions of the same bill. The bills would originate in the respective committees, be debated and passed, first by the committee and then by the entire house.

With 58 Senate seats, Democrats need the support of at least two Republicans to block a filibuster. But they could pass a reconciliation bill without any Republican votes — and without the support of troublesome moderates in their own party.

Some moderate Democrats are arguing that reconciliation would empower their party’s liberal wing while undermining a critical aspect of Obama’s popular appeal — his promise to work across the aisle.

The “moderate Democrats” just happen to be the same ones up for election next year. That suggests how popular this is likely to be with voters.

It looks like fascism to me. And, if you doubt that, look at this.

With almost no public attention, both chambers of Congress in the past week advanced an alarming expansion of the Americorps national service plan, with the number of federally funded community service job increasing from 75,000 to 250,000 at a cost of $5.7 billion. Lurking behind the feel-good rhetoric spouted by the measure’s advocates is a bill that on closer inspection reveals multiple provisions that together create a strong odor of creepy authoritarianism. The House passed the measure overwhelmingly, while only 14 senators had the sense and courage to vote against it on a key procedural motion. Every legislator who either voted for this bill or didn’t vote at all has some serious explaining to do.

Last summer, then-candidate Barack Obama threw civil liberties to the wind when he proposed “a civilian national security force that’s just as powerful, just as strong, just as well-funded” as the regular military. The expanded Americorps is not quite so disturbing, but a number of provisions in the bill raise serious concerns.

But he plans to cut Defense to “reduce the deficit.”

Obama and guns

Wednesday, March 18th, 2009

UPDATE: A furious response from gun owners has resulted in a quick reversal by DoD on the used brass decision. Apparently there are some people in this administration who can understand how stupid they look.

Since the election, there has been a huge increase in the purchase of guns and ammunition. Some attribute this to fear of Obama’s previously expressed antipathy to private ownership of firearms. His most recent actions seem to confirm this, as he has taken every step available to him without going through Congress to reduce gun ownership.

His history is not reassuring.

Chicago Defender December 13, 1999,

Obama unveils federal gun bill

Obama is proposing to make it a felony for a gun owner whose firearm was stolen from his residence which causes harm to another person if that weapon was not securely stored in that home.

He’s proposing restricting gun purchases to one weapon a month and banning the sale of firearms at gun shows except for “antique” weapons. Obama is also proposing increasing the licensing fee to obtain a federal firearms

And more when he was a Senator.

Associated Press, Sept. 11, 2004:

-Voted ‘No’ on letting people claim a self-defense protection in court for using a gun in their homes despite local weapons bans. (SB2165, 2004)

First came the new policy in which the Defense Department will no longer sell fired brass cartridges to private ammunition makers. This will cause job losses in the ammunition industry and hurt police departments that need cheap ammunition for target practice.

It will also cost the government money that it has made from selling the brass.

Haynie further pointed out this move is a stupendous waste of taxpayer money–reducing the worth of the brass some 80%–from casings, to shredded bulk brass.

Now pilots who have passed gun safety classes, will be disarmed.

Arming pilots after Sept. 11 was nothing new. Until the early 1960s, American commercial passenger pilots on any flight carrying U.S. mail were required to carry handguns. Indeed, U.S. pilots were still allowed to carry guns until as recently as 1987. There are no records that any of these pilots (either military or commercial) ever causing any significant problems.

Screening of airplane passengers is hardly perfect. While armed marshals are helpful, the program covers less than 3 percent of the flights out of Washington D.C.’s three airports and even fewer across the country. Sky marshals are costly and quit more often than other law-enforcement officers.

Armed pilots are a cost-effective backup layer of security. Terrorists can only enter the cockpit through one narrow entrance, and armed pilots have some time to prepare themselves as hijackers penetrate the strengthened cockpit doors. With pilots, we have people who are willing to take on the burden of protecting the planes for free. About 70 percent of the pilots at major American carriers have military backgrounds.

Obama’s hostility to private ownership of firearms will cost the Democrats at the polls unless Congress reverses some of his policy changes.

A suggestion for strategy

Saturday, March 7th, 2009

The Republicans are largely leaderless right now, and understandably so. McCain lost the presidential election and the Democrats hold majorities in both houses of Congress. There was a bit of a flap the past week when the Obama White House orchestrated a charge that Rush Limbaugh was the “de facto” leader of the Republican party. That was a clever ploy since they thought they had detected a trend in public opinion of dislike for Limbaugh by moderates and especially women. The story lasted a week and is mostly over now. Limbaugh speaks for conservatives but has no interest in a formal role in the party.

The new RNC chair, Michael Steele, got his foot in his mouth by attacking Limbaugh as an “entertainer” and by implying that the party is racist. That was a very bad week for Steele but it doesn’t answer our question. Where do we go from here ?

Hugh Hewitt has a reader who is in advertising and who comments about the party and its public relations performance. He calls himself “Bear in the Woods” and he had a very useful post this week.

The two most powerful words in advertising have always been: “Free” and “Truth.”

The problem is, once they get turned into marketing language, they sometimes develop twisted meanings. But, if, in fact, marketers can use the words legitimately, they absolutely should employ them whenever possible. It’s important to understand that many times, though, the two words conflict. Yes, something might be “Free,” but the “Truth” is, in the end, you still have to pay.

It’s clear the Democrats have embraced the concept of “Free.” Just look at all the stuff they’re “giving” away. I’m reminded of a discussion I had a few years ago with a Canadian friend of mine — and no, it wasn’t about health care — but it was about some other government program from which he believed he was getting free services. “The government’s going to pay for it!” He was ecstatic. Then I asked him his tax rate. Although he made less than half of what I made at the time, his rate was 15 points higher. A lightbulb went off when he realized that yes, the government was paying for his service — with his money. This is the twisted concept of “Free” the American people are being sold by congress and the president. But “Free” is seductive. And emotional. And people are almost universally willing to buy it. The Democrats are, quite literally, banking on it.

De Tocqueville warned about the possibility that the American public would learn to vote themselves money and goods from the government. It is in the interest of politicians to feed this appetite for government largess as it is much easier than explaining economics and politics. We now have a situation in this country where a large share of the electorate pays no income tax. If Obama gets his way, that share will be about 50% of the voters. He is already playing to their desire for other people’s money by promising that no one outside the top 5% of incomes will see a tax increase and, in fact, is promising a tax cut. Unfortunately, even if the government confiscated the entire income of those who earn more than $250,000 per year (and assuming they would work for nothing), there would not be enough revenue to pay for his spending plans. The stock market collapse shows that the investor class realizes that his numbers don’t add up. This leads to the second suggestion.

But, then, there’s the Truth. One of the most successful public
service campaigns in recent memory has been “The Truth” campaign against smoking. Just the facts. Just the truth. Presented in a raw, yet emotionally arresting way.

When, in times past, Republicans have presented the Truth in an emotionally arresting, and creatively competent way (The Bear in the Woods, The Contract With America) we’ve succeeded. I’ll even throw in the Swift Boat spots for good measure here, just to make a point. When we’ve failed, we’ve done one of two things: (A) We’ve failed to live the Truth, for instance, by becoming big spenders while telling the country we’re not, or by shutting down communication altogether, thus obscuring the Truth; or (B) we’ve failed to articulate the Truth in a way that is concise and emotionally appealing. Which is why I frequently liken GOP responses to Liberal banner waving as the communications equivalent of a white paper.

The Truth is powerful on its own. It can be spoken in short sentences.

The Truth is simple. The Truth is pure. The Truth trumps opinion.

This, it seems to me, offers a simple plan. The man who lives this the best in the Republican Party today is Senator Tom Coburn. He is a general practice physician from Oklahoma but he has mastered the intricacies of parliamentary procedure and legislation. I have been involved in politics on a local level and in medical associations. I know it is not easy to learn how to navigate in such circles but he has mastered it. Michael Steele may be the party chair but Coburn, I think, has the answer. He is reviled on the left, take a look at that outfit and who runs it. He is death on earmarks and has embarrassed the Democrats again and again (if that is possible) on the subject. I don’t agree with him on everything but on the issue of truth, he is solid.

UPDATE: There is some uncertainty about whether he will run for re-election. I think he will decide to stay.

The hard part is living it. The last eight years, especially from 2001 to 2007 when the Democrats took the majority in the House, have nearly ruined the Republican brand for fiscal responsibility. Were Obama a moderate Democrat of the sort he appeared to be during the campaign, at least to the majority, the task would be impossible. The Republicans would be in the minority for a decade. But Obama is not a moderate and the path he is choosing leads to disaster.

Telling and living the truth is a strategy that could work but it will require discipline and honesty.

The special relationship

Friday, March 6th, 2009

Last week, British PM Gordon Brown paid a visit to president Obama. There were a number of indignities foisted on the PM, including denying him a joint press conference, leaving the British press excluded from the meeting and, finally, his gift to the PM. I didn’t believe this story when I first heard it, thinking it a joke. Alas, it was true.

President Obama gave Prime Minister Brown a 25-DVD box set of classic American films. Prime Minister Brown obviously sees the gift as something of an indignity. The Daily Mail reports that “No 10 had tried to keep the present a secret, refusing to answer reporters who asked what President Obama had given to mark the reaffirmation of the special relationship.” Compared to the gifts brought for Obama by Brown, the DVDs are an embarrassment. Couldn’t Obama at least have thrown in an an autographed copy of The Audacity of Hope?

Brown, being the leader of a great country and aware of his role, gave Obma several fine gifts with real meaning.

The Prime Minister gave Mr Obama an ornamental pen holder made from the timbers of the Victorian anti-slave ship HMS Gannet. The unique present delighted Mr Obama because oak from the Gannet’s sister ship, HMS Resolute, was carved to make a desk that has sat in the Oval Office in the White House since 1880.

Mr Brown also handed over a framed commission for HMS Resolute and a first edition of the seven-volume biography of Churchill by Sir Martin Gilbert.

In addition, Mr Brown and his wife showered gifts on the Obama children giving Sasha and Malia an outfit each from Topshop and six children’s books by British authors which are shortly to be published in America.

An additional insult is the fact that PM Brown is blind in one eye and has diminished vision in the other. The visit was a disaster and followed Obama’s return of a bust of Churchill that had graced the White House for years.

Really showing them that old Chicago class, aren’t we.

Fortunately, we have a highly talented Secretary of State, although her Russian could use some work.

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton opened her first extended talks with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov by giving him a present meant to symbolize the Obama administration’s vow to “press the reset button” on U.S.-Russia relations.

She handed a palm-sized box wrapped with a bow. Lavrov opened it and pulled out the gift: a red button on a black base with a Russian word peregruzka printed on top.

“We worked hard to get the right Russian word. Do you think we got it?” Clinton asked.

“You got it wrong,” Lavrov said.

Instead of “reset,” Lavrov said the word on the box meant “overcharge.”

Yes, we have an administration of all the talents.

UPDATE: we have two explanations now. One is that the president is “overwhelmed.” The other is that Britain is not so special.

The Telegraph’s story contains this suggestion that Obama’s slight of the British Prime Minister may have been intentional, at least in part:

The real views of many in Obama administration were laid bare by a State Department official involved in planning the Brown visit, who reacted with fury when questioned by The Sunday Telegraph about why the event was so low-key.

The official dismissed any notion of the special relationship, saying: “There’s nothing special about Britain. You’re just the same as the other 190 countries in the world. You shouldn’t expect special treatment.”

Buyers remorse ?

Wednesday, March 4th, 2009

UPDATE: The Senate blocked the Omnibus spending bill last night with two Democrats decining support. This may be a sign of more disillusionment.

There are the first small tremors of buyers remorse showing up. Even Chris Matthews is sounding disillusioned. Even David Brooks has made a small quibble.

But the Obama budget is more than just the sum of its parts. There is, entailed in it, a promiscuous unwillingness to set priorities and accept trade-offs. There is evidence of a party swept up in its own revolutionary fervor — caught up in the self-flattering belief that history has called upon it to solve all problems at once.

So programs are piled on top of each other and we wind up with a gargantuan $3.6 trillion budget. We end up with deficits that, when considered realistically, are $1 trillion a year and stretch as far as the eye can see. We end up with an agenda that is unexceptional in its parts but that, when taken as a whole, represents a social-engineering experiment that is entirely new.

I’m sure that Obama is trembling in his shoes at this moderate assault.

Christopher Buckley is waving a pinky goodbye to his love affair with Obama.

Hold on—there’s a typo in that paragraph. “$3.6 trillion budget” can’t be right.The entire national debt is—what—about $11 trillion? He can’t actually be proposing to spend nearly one-third of that in one year, surely. Let me check. Hmm. He did. The Wall Street Journal notes that federal outlays in fiscal 2009 will rise to almost 30 percent of the gross national product. In language that even an innumerate English major such as myself can understand: The US government is now spending annually about one-third of what the entire US economy produces. As George Will would say, “Well.”
Now let me say: Unlike Rush Limbaugh, I want President Obama to succeed. I honestly do. We are all in this leaky boat together—did I say “leaky”? I meant “sieve-like”—and it would be counterproductive, if not downright suicidal, to want it to go down just to prove a conservative critique of Keynesian economics.
But let’s all be honest about this: No one knows how all this is going to turn out in the end. Do you, really? If we learned one thing during the runup to this rancid enchilada, it is that most of the smartest people in the room were wrong, and the other ones were crooked.

Oh well, Buckley has had his moment of fame and I’m sure his trust fund is safely invested in the Cayman Islands, like Teresa Heinz Kerry and the Kennedy family. Still, even David Gergen is muttering a bit. Well, a little bit.

It isn’t popular to say right now but there is growing reason to question whether this is the wisest course in terms of our most urgent and pressing challenge: a collapsing world economy. News on the economic front has to be sobering to even the most optimistic among us. Last Friday, we learned that the economy contracted in the 4th quarter by over 6 percent. Over the weekend, Warren Buffett warned that the economy would be in a “shambles” through 2009 and possibly beyond. On Monday, the government issued its fourth bailout for AIG, European ministers rejected a general bailout for Eastern Europe, and the Dow sank below 7,000 – down some 25% since its run-up in January. This Friday economists expect the latest U.S. unemployment numbers to be dismal. Already, the administration’s optimistic economic forecasts for next year look way too rosy.

Well, Obama is not listening to these people. Does he listen to anyone ? Michelle, maybe ?

Even Stuart Taylor is speaking out. Where were these guys last fall ? Buying a pig in a poke, that’s where.

Hang on ! This will be rough. If any of my children who voted for Obama read this, you know who will pay. Even if you don’t want to know, you know. I won’t be there to pay for you.

Our expert president

Wednesday, March 4th, 2009

Yesterday, President Obama shows his talent at stock analysis. He said:

“What you’re now seeing is profit-and-earning ratios are starting to get to the point where buying stocks is a potentially good deal if you’ve got a long-term perspective on it,” Obama said Tuesday.

Would someone please tell me what “profit-and-earning ratios” are ? I’m not an expert, like Obama, and I don’t give advice but what I have read about are “price-earnings ratios.” That means, if the stock costs $50 and yields a dividend of $5 per year, the P/E is 10, usually a good place to buy if the stock is otherwise of value and has good prospects.

I’ve never heard of “profit-and-earnings ratios.” How would you calculate that with most companies showing poor profits or losses. How do you calculate a “profit-and-earnings ratio” for a stock of a company that shows a loss this year?

What this suggests to me is that Obama knows nothing about the stock market, except how to make it fall 20% since the election. I’m not the only who worries.

In fact, the market is collapsing precisely because Obama is doing almost everything wrong when it comes to putting in place a sound long-term strategy — from shaking the confidence of the market and the public, to targeting businesses and the investor class in America, to promising tax increases in a nasty recession, to increasing spending by trillions of dollars, to being clueless about how to deal with the banking crisis and toxic assets. The performance of the market is evidence it has almost no confidence that President Obama and his Administration know what to do to help the American economy regain its footing. And why should it?

The Obama economy

Saturday, February 21st, 2009

A better picture of Obama’s, and the Democrats’, economic plans is emerging. First, he is announcing plans to raise taxes in a recession.

Obama plans to unveil his goals for scaling back record deficits and rebuilding the nation’s costly and inefficient health care system Monday, when he addresses more than 100 lawmakers and budget experts at a White House summit on restoring “fiscal responsibility” to Washington.

In his weekly radio and Internet address today, Obama expressed determination to “get exploding deficits under control” and described his budget request as “sober in its assessments, honest in its accounting, and lays out in detail my strategy for investing in what we need, cutting what we don’t, and restoring fiscal discipline.”

Reducing the deficit, he said, is critical to the nation’s future: “We can’t generate sustained growth without getting our deficits under control.”

How is he going to get the deficits under control, considering that he just signed a bill that adds over a trillion dollars to them?

Obama proposes to dramatically reduce those numbers by the end of his first term, cutting the deficit he inherited in half, said administration officials, speaking on condition of anonymity because the budget has yet to be released. His budget plan would keep the deficit hovering near $1 trillion in 2010 and 2011, but shows it dropping to $533 billion in 2013 — still high in dollar terms, but a more manageable 3 percent of the overall economy.

To get there, Obama proposes to cut spending and raise taxes. The savings would come primarily from “winding down the war” in Iraq, a senior administration official said. The budget assumes that the nation will continue to spend money on “overseas military contingency operations” throughout Obama’s presidency, the official said, but that number is significantly lower than the nearly $190 billion the nation budgeted for Iraq and Afghanistan last year.

Obama also seeks to increase tax collections, primarily by making good on his promise to eliminate the temporary tax cuts enacted in 2001 and 2003 for wealthy taxpayers, whom Obama defined during the campaign as those earning more than $250,000 a year. Those tax breaks would be permitted to expire on schedule for the 2011 tax year, when the top tax rate would rise from 35 percent to more than 39 percent.

OK so we raise tax rates in a recession and that increases revenue ? Democrats seem to think that people will not alter behavior when incentives change.

Even some non-partisan observers question the wisdom of announcing a plan to raise taxes in the midst of a recession. But senior White House adviser David Axelrod said in an interview that the tax proposals reflect the ideas that won the election last fall.

“This is consistent with what the president talked about throughout the campaign,” and “restores some balance to the tax code in a way that protects the middle class,” Axelrod said. “Most Americans will come out very well here.”

How high could those rates go ? Here’s what a Democrat Congressman told his constitutents last week.

Congressman Jerry McNerney (D-Pleasanton) hosted “Congress at your Corner” from 9:30 to 10:30 this morning. The meetings are “part of McNerney’s effort to reach out to and hear from citizens in the 11th District.” I have never gone to anything like this before, but decided to go to express my displeasure about the stimulus package. Keep in mind that this is NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. The meeting was held in a local bagel cafe, and I was happy to see that the place was packed with probably about 50-75 people. The vast majority of them were extremely angry about the stimulus package. It started out with him taking questions from the crowd, but then they started a line for people to talk to him privately because things were getting “out of control”. Several people then asked if he would consider having a town hall style meeting with microphones, etc. We’ll see if that happens. I’m not betting on it.

The writer finally got to talk to the Congressman.

When I got my time with him, I explained to him that even people who make $150k in Northern Cal. are not “rich” and should not be taxed as if they were. (A 1400 sq ft, 40 year old home here goes for over half a million, even after the housing slump. Then you add in real estate taxes, state income taxes, 10% sales tax, gas prices, utility costs, etc.) I also expressed my concern that about half the people in the country now pay no income taxes, so there is overwhelming incentive for them to keep voting for democrats and therefore higher taxes for the rest of us. He told me that he thought tax rates should go up for the very rich and that the top marginal tax rate should be 90%. I couldn’t believe what I was hearing, so I asked in a voice that many in the room could hear if he really meant 90%, and he said yes. Several people asked me after my turn was over if they heard correctly what he said, and were amazed when I said yes.

Here is a Congressman who thinks that the rich will sit still and let the government take 90% of their income with taxes. How did that work out for Herbert Hoover ?

There actually is some history of revenue changes with tax rate changes. I doubt that Congressman has read any of this, any more than he read the “stimulus bill” he voted for. In fact, Obama told Charlie Gibson, in the most revealing answer of the primary debates, that he would raise capital gains tax rates even if it lost money !

Welcome to Obamanomics.