Archive for January, 2009

Bush Did Good

Monday, January 19th, 2009

Bradley J. Fikes

I’ve never been a supporter of George W. Bush, but as the handoff nears, Bush the Younger’s record of opposing terrorism and the terrorist apologists in the media and elsewhere is starting to look pretty good.

President Obama will face challenges from terrorist-supporting states like Iran and non-state terrorists like Al Qaeda, Hamas and Hezbollah. Nothing in Obama’s record suggests he’ll have the strength of will to stand up to them. Bush did.

During Israel’s recent war against the terrorist group Hamas, Bush stood firmly behind Israel, while Obama ducked the spotlight. Given his long association with the Hamas-loving Rev. Jeremiah Wright, Obama can be reasonably assumed not be be strongly opposed to Hamas. At least he never said so at the time.

And Bush may have been right about Iraq. While I still have doubts about the Iraq war, I’m less opposed to it now, and am rethinking matters. It’s not that Bush has been particularly eloquent or persusive. The large number of demented, often blatantly anti-American and anti-Semitic protesters here and around the world have been far more persuasive.

Zombietime is an excellent resource to show just how much the anti-war movement and support of those pacifist Palestinians has been taken over by these racist loonballs:

Non-racist friends of Hamas

President Bush, thank you for your work opposing terrorism and opposing terrorist advocates like these who would deliver us to our enemies, by stupidity or design.

Life on Mars

Friday, January 16th, 2009

MORE: There has been speculation that evolution on earth took a different path from that on other planets when mitochondria, which were originally free-living organisms like Rickettsia, developed a symbiotic relationship with eukaryotes (cells with a nucleus) and made possible multi-celled organisms. This crucial step may have occurred only once. Or, it may occur in any oxygen rich atmosphere. We should not be surprised to find single cell life on Mars but multicellular life might very, very rare.

I have already posted on the new developments in bacteriology and life forms like Archea. Now, we are starting to see evidence that Mars may host similar organisms. Here is evidence of methane on Mars.

At a NASA news conference this afternoon, a team of scientists led by Michael Mumma of the Goddard Space Flight Center announced the discovery of plumes of methane emanating from the surface of Mars during the planet’s late spring and early summer. Methane is a key component of natural gas, and much of the Earth’s supply of the chemical comes from organisms that release it as they digest nutrients. But the five scientists were cautious to avoid claiming the methane spouts as evidence of life, saying that geologic activity could also put pressure on the methane and blast it through cracks in the surface. Either way, Mumma said, the plumes show that Mars is not merely a dead planet that once may have hosted life or liquid water. “We are entering a new era,” he said. “Now we’re looking at an active Mars.”

I have previously commented on extremophiles and other organisms that might survive in the Martian environment. Here and here.

There is more on this topic here.

To learn whether life could exist in a barren landscape such as that seen on the surface of Mars, where any water present is mostly present in the frozen state, some microbiologists have journeyed to a part of Earth that resembles Mars in some respects: the polar deserts of Antarctica.

Antarctica proves that microbes survive in barren landscapes.

This region of Antarctica has very little water, and most of the year what little water there is exists in the form of ice.

The hole in the ozone layer that has developed over Antarctica allows high levels of ultraviolet radiation to reach Earth’s surface, a condition that would be experienced by any creatures located on the Martian surface.

The level of radiation encountered in Antarctica is not nearly as high as that encountered on the surface of Mars, but it is higher than that encountered on most other parts of Earth’s surface.
Is there life in the polar desert of Antarctica? The answer is an unequivocal Yes. Bacteria and fungi have been found in the Antarctic deserts, not only in the soil of the region but also inside rocks. Scientists speculate that bacteria enter the porous matrix of rocks as a means of protecting themselves from radiation.

The atmosphere on Mars is much thinner than Earth’s.
A major difference between the environment found in the high deserts of Antarctica and that encountered on the surface of Mars is the atmosphere. The Martian atmosphere is much thinner than that of Earth. It consists mostly of carbon dioxide, or CO2 (about 95%), and contains virtually no oxygen (O2). Because many bacteria, archaea, and algae can use inorganic carbon dioxide as their source of carbon (used to build proteins and other cell components), the predominance of carbon dioxide would be a plus. Also, as noted earlier, many of Earth’s microbes do not require O2, so the lack of O2 does not preclude life.

So all these points are permissive. Life could exist on Mars. There is a problem, though.

A more troubling feature of the Martian atmosphere is the very low level of nitrogen (N2). On Earth, N2 makes up 78% of atmospheric gases. On Mars it only composes 3%. Many bacteria can use N2 as a sole source of the nitrogen they need for proteins, nucleic acids, and other cell components, but the low level of N2 would certainly limit the amount of microbial growth. Thus, if there is microbial life on Mars, it is unlikely to be as abundant and as widespread as on Earth and may thus be harder to find.

Different compositions and concentrations of gases may exist in some areas under the Martian surface. Such a possibility would be difficult to prove—unless it is proved indirectly the presence of life in the subsurface regions and in greater abundance than expected.

We may have to consider a life form that does not use Nitrogen. Phosphorus and Arsenic are members of the family of Nitrogen in the periodic table. on Earth, Nitrogen is a gas and a large part of the atmosphere. On Mars, it is a small part. One problem is thinking about Exobiology, the biology of other systems. Phosphorus is abundant on Mars. What does this mean ? I don’t know.

Two stories today; same subject

Thursday, January 15th, 2009

Representative Henry Waxman, known to some of his friends as The Mole (see above), assured us yesterday that he will address climate change in legislation before May.

Meanwhile, Chicago has the largest snowfall since 1884 and subfreezing temperatures are breaking records everywhere.

Maine residents braced for nighttime readings down to 40 below zero. And in the Midwest, Iowans were warned that temperatures could drop as far as 27 below zero during the night, matching a Jan. 15 record set in 1972.

Temperatures Thursday were expected to range from 10 below zero in the far north to the low teens in southern coastal areas.

Farther south, morning temperatures were in the 20s from Texas to Georgia, and along the Gulf Coast the weather service reported a low of just 28 at Mobile, Ala.

Even northern Georgia and Kentucky could see single-digit lows by Friday, with zero possible at Lexington, Ky., the weather service warned. Kentucky hasn’t been that cold since December 2004.

There is an old rule: when Congress gets around to fixing a problem, it is over already.

The health care crisis (not)

Thursday, January 15th, 2009

You know that the health care crisis is getting critical. The University of Chicago Hospitals have eliminated Michelle Obama’s $300,000/year job. She wasn’t there much the past year anyway. The New Republic thinks this is a serious problem. Nobody else does.

Mark Sanchez seems ready to leave SC

Thursday, January 15th, 2009

UPDATE: It’s official. Sanchez is leaving and Pete Carroll is not happy. Bill Plaschke thinks he is mad because it will hurt the team but I think it could be frustration that Sanchez is making a bad decision. Anyway, he is gone for next year.

This LA Times story suggests that Mark Sanchez will leave school for the NFL draft after only one season as a starting quarterback. I think this will be a mistake for him but it will be a boon for Mitch Mustain, who transferred from Arkansas to SC two years ago. Aaron Corp, a freshman backup quarterback will also be given a chance to start next season with a largely intact offensive unit. SC loses a big part of the defensive squad but the offense will be intact, except for Sanchez if he leaves.

Sanchez may have looked at the careers of Matt Leinert and Matt Castle this year. Castle was a backup at New England until Tom Brady was hurt early in the season. Castle then took over and has had an outstanding season, taking the Patriots to the playoffs. Leinert started a few games for Arizona but has been benched this season as old timer, Kurt Warner took them to the NFL Championship game this weekend.

Apparently, he was also influenced by the fact that three other outstanding quarterbacks will return to school, leaving the draft short of competition for Sanchez. Maybe this is a good decision for him, especially as the quarterback coach for SC will change next season as Steve Sarkesian leaves for Washington. I think another year would make him a better prospect but he has his career to think of and maybe he prefers to move on now. For his sake, I hope he is correct.

Europe may be changing its mind

Wednesday, January 14th, 2009

The European Union countries have been the principle supporters of the Palestinians since 1948. As noted previously, Arab countries contribute only 6% of the annual cost of UNRWA, which is the UN agency that has perpetuated the Palestinian camps. Other refugees have been settled elsewhere. Only the Palestinians, serving as a perpetual “victim” of Israel’s existence, have never been resettled. Now, Egypt and Jordan, which share borders with Palestinian zones, resist any effort of accept them for settlement, as I posted on before.

Now, Europe may be losing patience with the Palestinians, as it faces its own Muslim problems.

Europe was a Middle East counterbalance – generally sympathetic to Palestinians as the weaker party, critical of an unqualified US backing of Israel. The Palestine Liberation Organization had offices in Europe. France’s Navy helped Yasser Arafat escape Tripoli in 1983. Europe backed the Oslo Accords, and saw the Palestinian cause as a fight for territory and statehood.

Yet Europe’s traditional position on the Arab dispute has been quietly changing: It is gravitating closer to a US-Israeli framing of a war on terror, a “clash of civilizations,” with a subtext of concern about the rise of Islam – and away from an emphasis on core grievances of Palestinians, like the ongoing Israeli settlements in the West Bank and East Jerusalem, and “occupation.”

As Europeans witness violent anti-Israel rallies that burn cars and murder Jews who have nothing to do with Israel, they may be coming to see the serpent they have clasped to their collective breast.

Public support for Arabs is down due social tensions with Muslim immigrants. “Europe fears an Islamist threat, whether internal or external, and this has begun to change the overall views on the Israel-Palestine conflict,” says Aude Signoles of the University of La Réunion. “There is a general ‘Arab fatigue’ in Europe,” says Denis Bauchard of L’Institut français des relations internationales.

A Pew Global Attitudes poll in 2006 found that French sympathies were evenly divided (38 percent) between those sympathizing with the Palestinians and with Israel, marking a doubling of support for Israel and a 10 percent gain for Palestinians over the previous two years. In Germany, 37 percent sympathized with Israel – an increase of 13 points over 2004 and more than double those who supported the Palestinians.

This is a change and may be a sign that the Palestinians should become more realistic about their goals.

Fifth Column in the Army War College

Wednesday, January 14th, 2009

UPDATE: The War College disputes the charge. Maybe it’s just the research arm involved.

A year ago, I had several posts about a man named Hesham Islam, who appeared to be an Islamic mole in the Defense Department. It appears I may have been premature in celebrating his departure. This story suggests that the problem may not be solved.

“HAMAS’ political and strategic development has been both ignored and misreported in Israeli and Western sources which villainize the group, much as the PLO was once characterized as an anti-Semitic terrorist group,” writes Sherifa Zuhur, a research professor at the War College’s Strategic Studies Institute. “Negotiating solely with the weaker Palestinian party-Fatah-cannot deliver the security Israel requires. . . . The underlying strategies of Israel and HAMAS appear mutually exclusive . . . . Yet each side is still capable of revising its desired endstate and of necessary concessions to establish and preserve a long-term truce, or even a longer-term peace.”

This information is from Thomas Ricks’ blog posts at Foreign Policy. Ricks is the Washington Post’s military reporter. His comments concern this War College publication by a research professor at the College. This could simply be an example of using diverse sources of opinion except that it seems to be a trend. Ricks relates another story suggesting an atmosphere of censorship.

During the lunch in which I was approached by the faculty (three in all), I was told that my experience was not surprising. “The AWC is creating a closed idea environment by their policy of not allowing new ideas in here,” I recall one faculty member telling me. That statement, it seemed to me at the time, was a little too general. I had good contacts in the Pentagon, with very senior commanders and was reassured by them afterwards that my AWC experience was unusual. It would not have happened at Leavenworth, I was told.

The most serious issue is whether the study of militant Islam is being curtailed for political reasons.

As late as early 2006, the senior service colleges of the Department of Defense had not incorporated into their curriculum a systematic study of Muhammad as a military or political leader. As a consequence, we still do not have an in-depth understanding of the war-fighting doctrine laid down by Muhammad, how it might be applied today by an increasing number of Islamic groups, or how it might be countered. (”The Sources and Patterns of Terrorism in Islamic Law,” The Vanguard: Journal of the Military Intelligence Corps Association, 11:4 [Fall 2006], p. 10)

Maybe Hesham Islam has left his legacy after all.

Gaza, Hamas and CNN

Sunday, January 11th, 2009

CNN has admitted altering its news coverage in Iraq prior to the US invasion in order to avoid being punished or expelled by Saddam Hussein. During the Israeli invasion of Gaza the past two weeks, another incident involving CNN and the news it is reporting has been a subject of discussion. Last week, CNN showed a video purporting to be of a 12-year-old boy killed by Israeli rockets. The scene has been analyzed by a number of physicians and other persons skilled at emergency care and the CPR depicted in the video is not credible. My wife and I looked at it and the boy is not being ventilated, plus the CPR chest compressions are appropriate for a five year old, not 12. They are too rapid and not forceful enough.

Then, it turns out that the supposed victim is the brother of the Hamas TV producer. CNN has defended the video after first removing it from its site.

“It’s absolute nonsense,” Paul Martin, co-owner of World News and Features, said of accusations leveled by bloggers at videographer Ashraf Mashharawi.

“He’s a man of enormous integrity and would never get involved with any sort of manipulation of images, let alone when the person dying is his own brother,” Martin said. “I know the whole family. I know them very well. … [Mashharawi] is upset and angry that anyone would think of him having done anything like this. … This is ridiculous. He’s independent.”

What is “World News and Features ?” Take a look at their web site.

Film-maker Paul Martin, of WORLD NEWS & FEATURES, has gained exclusive access to the men who fire the rockets. Martin filmed with a militant group as they prepared to risk their lives – and his – in a rocket-firing operation. He presents a unique view of the ROCKET MEN of Gaza.

What do you think the chances of survival for a neutral observer would be with “the rocket men of Gaza?” This is a Hamas front and the whole thing is a sham.

ANOTHER VIEW: Here is a unique perspective on Hamas and Gaza.

When Hamas routed Fatah in Gaza in 2007, it cost nearly 350 lives and 1,000 wounded. Fatah’s surrender brought only a temporary stop to the type of violence and bloodshed that are commonly seen in lands where at least 30% of the male population is in the 15-to-29 age bracket.

In such “youth bulge” countries, young men tend to eliminate each other or get killed in aggressive wars until a balance is reached between their ambitions and the number of acceptable positions available in their society. In Arab nations such as Lebanon (150,000 dead in the civil war between 1975 and 1990) or Algeria (200,000 dead in the Islamists’ war against their own people between 1999 and 2006), the slaughter abated only when the fertility rates in these countries fell from seven children per woman to fewer than two. The warring stopped because no more warriors were being born.

Why is there a “youth bulge” in Gaza ?

The reason for Gaza’s endless youth bulge is that a large majority of its population does not have to provide for its offspring. Most babies are fed, clothed, vaccinated and educated by UNRWA, the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East. Unlike the U.N. High Commission for Refugees, which deals with the rest of the world’s refugees and aims to settle them in their respective host countries, UNRWA perpetuates the Palestinian problem by classifying as refugees not only those who originally fled their homes, but all of their descendents as well.

UNRWA is benevolently funded by the U.S. (31%) and the European Union (nearly 50%) — only 7% of the funds come from Muslim sources. Thanks to the West’s largesse, nearly the entire population of Gaza lives in a kind of lowly but regularly paid dependence. One result of this unlimited welfare is an endless population boom.

Interesting point of view. We are funding the production of young men whose only future is to die in wars or gang fights. Maybe we should introduce the Gazans to These people.

By the way, Hamas and Hezbollah are rivals as much as allies against Israel. Neither is interested in peaceful co-existence.

A Sensible Global Warming Solution?

Saturday, January 10th, 2009

Bradley J. Fikes, again, courtesy of the Dr. Capt.

I’ve long accepted Bjorn Lomborg’s approach to global warming: He accepts the scientific evidence that man is involved, but opposes the hugely costly proposals to combat it. We have far more pressing problems that can be dealt with immediately, such as fighting malaria, for much less money than the astronomical sums it would take to roll back carbon emissions.

Lomborg also points out that the anti-global warming programs governments are mandating will only have marginal effects on reducing global warming, and these would take decades to have even such a slight effect.

Now that common sense is slowly percolating through the AGW community. Some mainstream scientists are considering the use of technology to reduce the amount of sunlight reaching the earth. This is called “geoengineering”, and was long dismisssed by mainstream scientists as pie-in-the-sky, vastly expensive and unworkable.

The picture looks different today, after years of considering the pie-in-the-sky, vastly expensive and unworkable programs that are being imposed without much thought on America and other industrialized countries.

Science writer Chris Mooney discussed geoengineering in a Wired magazine article in 2007. One fascinating proposal is to pump particles into the stratosphere to block enough light to begin reducing global warming. The estimated cost: $1 billion a year. That is utterly trivial compared to the cost of current anti-global warming measures — not to mention our various ill-considered financial bailouts. So even AGW skeptics should welcome the proposal.

I’ve advocated geoengineering for years as the best way to deal with global warming. It’s nice to see some validation.

Another benefit is that if certain AGW skeptics are right and we are on the verge of a new Ice Age, we can use geoengineering to fight it. Just stop spraying particles into the stratosphere and start releasing as much carbon dioxide as possible.

Since our industrial society grew up in the current climate, it makes sense to keep it from changing too much. If geoengineering works, we’ll get a planetary thermostat.

ABC’s Iraq Abandonment

Wednesday, January 7th, 2009

Bradley J. Fikes here, with a guest post by the grace of Dr. Capt. Mike K.

ABC News is outsourcing its breaking news coverage of Iraq to the British Broadcasting Corp. ABC will no longer have a full-time correspondent there, although it will keep its bureau and Martha Raddatz will continue to do periodic embedded reports.

I understand the need for cash-strapped news organizations to cut costs wherever they can, but this is a terrible decision. America has more than 100,000 troops in Iraq, and has spent years trying to stop terrorism and build a democracy there. We have spent hundreds of billions of dollars and sacrificed thousands of American lives to that end. Whether or not you agree with the Iraq war, Americans have a vital interest in good coverage of what’s happening there.

News coverage from an agency headquartered in another country, even an ally, is no substitute for an American presence and perspective. This is independent of the question whether the BBC is a reliable news agency. Feel free to contribute your opinion on whether it is in the comments.

ABC could have easily contracted with the numerous American news organizations that are keeping an Iraq presence. Truly daring and farsighted leadership would have reached out to some of the excellent independent reporters such as Michael Yon or Michael Totten, broadening the perspective of ABC’s Iraq coverage. Instead, one MSM dinosaur has mated with another. I don’t think the offspring will be very attractive.