I have no idea what the election will produce tomorrow. I don’t trust the polls, although they have been scaring the Democrats by shifting from a “Blue Wave” to uncertainty the past month. This sort of thing is one reason why the polls are shifting.
Here is a pretty good analysis that seems realistic to me.
It is not very optimistic but there is no way to tell until after the election.
Here is another column that agrees with me on the issues.
The accusations against Kavanaugh by Christine Blasey Ford are unproven and were used as a battering ram to try to force him to withdraw. The other accusations were even less credible.
The letter, which claimed that Kavanaugh and friend raped her repeatedly in the “backseat of car,” was investigated, Grassley said, despite “being from an anonymous accuser,” with “no return address,” “timeframe,” or “location” of the alleged assaults.
Remarkably, the woman identified as Munro-Leighton reached out to Senate Judiciary staff by email, identifying herself as “Jane Doe from Oceanside CA.” This was on Oct. 3, 2018, three days before Kavanaugh was sworn in. The email contained a typed-up version of the anonymously written letter, repeated that Jane Doe was raped by Kavanaugh, but was “deathly afraid of revealing any information about myself or my family.”
An investigation into Munro-Leighton followed and Grassley says they found she was a “left-wing activist” who is “decades older than Judge Kavanaugh” and lives in Kentucky. Committee investigators attempted to follow up on Oct. 29, but did not speak with Munro-Leighton on the phone until Thursday, Nov. 1.
Blasey Ford probably did know Kavanaugh in high school where both attended expensive private schools in Maryland. The role of her “life long best friend” is a matter of interest.
Here’s the backstory on Monica McLean:
In a letter from a former boyfriend of Christine Blasey-Ford, there was a name curiously not redacted. The name of Monica L McLean; revealed as a life-long friend who Ms. Ford helped with polygraph preparation.
The media focused on the letter from the perspective of it outlining a lie told by Ms. Ford during her congressional testimony… But the backstory to Ms. Monica Lee McLean appeared an even bigger story.
First the letter from the boyfriend:
The letter, if true, refutes many of Blasey Ford’s claims such as fear of flying and Claustrophobia. It also suggested that she was dishonest and promiscuous.
The other big issue in the campaign is the immigration issue. Some Democrats are now denying that open borders are their desire. This is refuted by the presence of “Sanctuary Cities” in which city governments run by Democrats politicians are ordering law enforcement to refuse cooperation with federal immigration agencies such as ICE. In Portland there was even an occupation of the ICE offices by leftist radicals with the approval of Portland OR Democrat Mayor.
Federal law enforcement officers on Monday notified demonstrators camped outside Portland’s Immigration and Customs Enforcement headquarters that they must begin to vacate federal property.
“It is unlawful under federal law to obstruct the entrances, foyers, lobbies, corridors, offices and/or parking lots of federal facilities,” reads the flyer Federal Protective Service agents distributed to protesters, who have blockaded the Southwest Macadam Avenue facility since last week.
Those who obstruct the entrance to the building, according to the flyer, face arrest and prosecution in federal court. However, officials acknowledged they had no authority over adjacent properties owned by other entities.
Activists have waged the round-the-clock occupation in opposition to the Trump administration’s immigration crackdown, including its policy of separating migrant children from their parents at the U.S. border.
The order to abandon camp comes hours after federal law enforcement agents entered the ICE building in the middle of the night to “secure government property,” according to news release sent to media just after 3:30 a.m.
As for the Mayor: Last week, Portland Mayor Ted Wheeler lambasted ICE in a series of tweets and announced he will not have city police break up the protest at the federal agency’s Southwest Portland field office. A spokeswoman on Monday said Wheeler’s stance hadn’t changed and that Portland police won’t be responding.
Wheeler is traveling Monday, the spokeswoman said, and isn’t in Portland. City Commissioner Chloe Eudaly, however, visited the camp and expressed her support for the protesters.
These two issues, along with the “Caravan,” are significant sentiment drivers for this election. The accusations that “Leftist Billionaires” are spending money to support the defiance of immigration laws have been denied by Democrats but there are some links to support a role for George Soros.
An open borders group that has benefitted from U.S. taxpayer dollars and is funded by leftwing billionaire George Soros launched a smartphone application to help illegal immigrants avoid federal authorities. The app, Notifica (Notify), is described in a Laredo, Texas news article as a tool to protect immigrants living in the U.S. illegally by utilizing high tech and online social communications. With the click of a button, illegal aliens can alert family, friends and attorneys of encounters with federal authorities. “Immigration agents knocking at the door?” the news story asks. “Now, there’s an app for that, too.”
The group behind the app is called United We Dream, which describes itself as the country’s largest immigrant youth-led community. The nonprofit has more than 400,000 members nationwide and claims to “embrace the common struggle of all people of color and stand up against racism, colonialism, colorism, and xenophobia.” Among its key projects is winning protections and rights for illegal immigrants, defending against deportation, obtaining education for illegal immigrants and acquiring “justice and liberation” for undocumented LGBT “immigrants and allies.” Illegal aliens encounter lots of discrimination, which creates a lot of fear, according to United We Dream. “We empower people to develop their leadership, their organizing skills, and to develop our own campaigns to fight for justice and dignity for immigrants and all people,” United We Dream states on its website, adding that this is achieved through immigrant youth-led campaigns at the local, state, and federal level.
Another left wing billionaire is Tom Steyer, who is spending millions to try to get an initiative passed in Arizona to require 50% of energy from “renewable sources” by 2030.
NextGen Climate Action is taking actions to increase renewable portfolio standards (RPS) in both Nevada and Arizona in 2018, financing the campaigns behind Arizona Proposition 127 and Nevada Question 6. Both ballot initiatives would require utilities to generate or acquire 50 percent of their electrical power from renewable resources by 2030, thus putting them on par with neighboring California’s RPS. Tom Steyer, the founder of NextGen Climate Action, said, “It turns out Nevada is the Saudi Arabia of solar energy in the United States, and Arizona is number two.”[5]
In Arizona, the NextGen-backed campaign is called Clean Energy for a Healthy Arizona. The campaign had raised $23.65 million, with 95 percent of funds coming from NextGen Climate Action.
“NextGen” is Steyer
Steyer is a rich kid who went to all the right schools, ending with Yale, and ended up as the fund manager of Farallon Capital which made billions as a hedge fund and investor in Indonesia and real estate. The Indonesian investments included coal deposits that had funded Bill and Hillary Clinton’s careers.
The most famous connection between the Clintons and Indonesian coal was the famous “Utah Coal Lockup,” which created a National Monument over a trillion dollar coal deposit.
When the President signed the Executive Order designating 1.7 million acres of land in southwest Utah as the Grand Staircase-Escalante National Monument, his action placed the area off limits to mineral extraction and development.
The New York Times reported that the monument encloses the largest coal field in the nation, the Kaiparowitz Plateau, which contains at least 7 billion tons of coal worth over $1 TRILLION.
Kentucky-based company Andalux Resources, which holds leases on 3,400 acres in the area, was planning to open a huge operation (underground, not strip mining) that would have generated 1,000 jobs, $1 million in annual revenue for Kane County, and at least $10 million a year in state and federal taxes, according to the New York Times. Folks living in the area wore black arm bands the day o the signing – but Clinton didn’t see them. He chose to make his announcement in a neighboring state. WHY?
Why did he do it? Why lock up $1 trillion worth of coal?
In a word; The Lippo Group.
In the weeks prior to the past election, revelations surfaced almost daily regarding donations from foreign sources to the Democratic Party and Clinton’s past campaigns. At the center of the controversy was another set of people to whom Clinton owes a few favors: the Lippo Group, a powerful $5 billion Indonesian conglomerate, founded and owned by the Riady family who, it turned out, had raised and funneled millions of dollars into campaign coffers.
Steyer was involved only as a beneficiary from the removal of a competitor to his Indonesian investments.
There is a reason why the billionaires seem to lean left, except the Koch Brothers who are libertarian and whose agenda on borders does not help the Republicans and Trump. The tech industry benefits greatly from the H1B visa program which brings Indian coders into the country where they replace American citizens and work for lower incomes. If they resist or try to change jobs for better pay, they lose their green card and can be deported.
The economy is recovering from Obama and that, plus the Kavanaugh and immigration stories might surprise the Democrats.
If the Republicans lose the House, it might be because they did not support Trump on immigration.
Two days out from an expected Democratic takeover of the House, Republicans focused on the chamber are profoundly worried that Trump’s obsession with all things immigration will exacerbate their losses. Many of these same Republicans welcomed Trump’s initial talk about the migrant caravan and border security two weeks ago, hoping it would gin up the GOP base in some at-risk, Republican-held districts.
But they now fear Trump went overboard — and that it could cost them dearly in key suburban districts, from Illinois to Texas. Many of them have cringed at Trump’s threats to unilaterally end birthright citizenship, as well as his recent racially-tinged ad suggesting that immigrants are police killers.
That, of course, is Politico and it leans heavily left. Still, the uniparty has resisted Trump and not all members are Democrats.